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chipmaney
Big Boofer
Joined: 10 Apr 2008
Location: United States
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Posts: 591
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 Topic: Weekend weather Posted: 01 Feb 2011 at 4:53pm |
Early signs point to the OP as being the wettest this weekend with drier weather to the central and particularly south.... NWAC Th-Sat forecast:
The upper level
ridge that has dominated the recent Pacific Northwest weather is
expected to flatten and weaken by Thursday. This shoudl allow warm
frontal moisture from a disturbance moving across the eastern north
Pacific to spread over the region. Initially across the north part
including the Olympics and north Washington Cascades Thursday morning
and gradually shifting southward late Thursday. However freezing levels
should remain relatively high as the moisture moves in. Northwest flow
aloft is expected to increase
across the region from Thursday through Saturday. Warm frontal moisture
should continue to cause periods of light to moderate precipitation
through the extended period. The heaviest expected precipitation should
remain over the north part of the Cascades and Olympics with very little
precipitation reaching the Mt Hood area or south Washington Cascades.
Pass level flow should quickly turn onshore with the onset of
precipitation Thursday and persist through the Saturday period. This
should limit any lowering of freezing levels in the passes where
precipitation is mostly expected to be of the rain variety.
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sitting all alone on a mountain by a river that has no end
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huckin harms
Master Poster
Joined: 03 Nov 2005
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Posts: 1477
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 7:58am |
Fantastic! Can you feel the sarcasm... just what we need is another round of rain on snow. Steven's Pass looks like April. January was a complete bust for snowfall. And its all been just a matter of a couple degrees or so. This next Spring runoff is looking fairly flat if more snow doesn't start falling up there. Sorry for such a negative outlook, but its just bumming me out when all that wonderful precip could be money in the bank. Instead its like an old wino guzzeling up all the good juice in one gulp. Man, I wish we could control this weather thing.... oh well. Thanks Chip for the heads up.
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fiddleyak
McNasty
Joined: 26 Oct 2007
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Posts: 386
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 9:55am |
Come on, this is a kayaking forum. You should be like, "sweet, another great weekend of whitewater!" I can't believe how consistently we've had great flows for the last couple months. The bright side of having low snow-pack? All the goods in BCs will run earlier.
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James
Admin
Sum Dum Guy
Joined: 31 Dec 2004
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Posts: 3598
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 10:08am |
Always the optimist ... Way ta be Ben
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chipmaney
Big Boofer
Joined: 10 Apr 2008
Location: United States
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Posts: 591
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 1:10pm |
Looks like the Green Truss (LW?) might run this weekend, too....
Yeah, Mike, you are showing a penchant for farsightedness not typical of kayaker types, which I personally find refreshing. Must be our age....As for me, though, right now I can't get past this weekend!
Although Ben is right, it's a give-and-take with weather patterns and run-off. However, I'll take Spring in Leavenworth anyday over cold January camping on the OP! We were out there last year and couldn't even get store-bought wood to burn....yeesh. Got in some great boating though!
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sitting all alone on a mountain by a river that has no end
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septimus prime
Big Boofer
Joined: 02 Jun 2007
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Posts: 502
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 5:20pm |
Originally posted by huckin harms
Fantastic! Can you feel the sarcasm... just what we need is another round of rain on snow. Steven's Pass looks like April. January was a complete bust for snowfall. And its all been just a matter of a couple degrees or so. This next Spring runoff is looking fairly flat if more snow doesn't start falling up there. Sorry for such a negative outlook, but its just bumming me out when all that wonderful precip could be money in the bank. Instead its like an old wino guzzeling up all the good juice in one gulp. Man, I wish we could control this weather thing.... oh well. Thanks Chip for the heads up.
That analogy has me rolling right now. Who knows though, we could get a lot of snow the next two months.
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Jon Shell Bee
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chipmaney
Big Boofer
Joined: 10 Apr 2008
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 5:25pm |
Yeah, I seem to recall us having the same discussion about this time last year, and last year's runoff was epic, at least in terms of duration. I can't recall the last time China Gorge ran for over a month....so there's always hope!
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sitting all alone on a mountain by a river that has no end
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water wacko
Master Poster
Team Jackson
Joined: 07 Nov 2006
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Posts: 2143
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 Posted: 02 Feb 2011 at 6:18pm |
I'm with Ben, fire some sh*t up!!! his winter has been awesome!!!! Got on 2 new runs in Jan. Anyone else?
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"Don't ask yourself what the world needs. Ask yourself what makes you come alive, and go do that, because what the world needs is people who have come alive." ~Howard Thurman
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