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Fish
Big Boofer
Joined: 05 Sep 2007
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Posts: 713
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 Topic: High Water Weekend Posted: 07 Jan 2014 at 12:45pm |
Graphs are predicting great flows for the upcoming weekend all across the state. Everything will likely have plenty of water
This however is terrible for those with season passes as the snow level is predicted to be near 6000ft on Saturday, melting away an already low snowpack
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osmelendez
McNasty
Joined: 07 Apr 2012
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Posts: 367
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 Posted: 07 Jan 2014 at 5:03pm |
Well then, I guess it's time to get my ass up off the couch. The slumber is over. I missed out on some stellar flows a few weeks ago and I'd hate to do that again.
I'll be seeing some of you this weekend!
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phil
Super Looper
Joined: 19 Aug 2009
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 Posted: 07 Jan 2014 at 6:04pm |
Latest NWS forecast still calling for snow, high of 32 at the Stevens base on Sat.
I want to believe.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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huckin harms
Master Poster
Joined: 03 Nov 2005
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 Posted: 07 Jan 2014 at 7:26pm |
Thanks Phil for the positive thoughts here... there's a good chance for rain at the pass but hoping it's not a washout. The rivers will be up for sure though and that's always a good thing.
Seems like every time I see the two thumbs up icon, I instinctively think it's a post up by Fish. And almost always is ....
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ChristianKnight
WW Industry
Joined: 31 Mar 2008
Location: United States
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 Posted: 07 Jan 2014 at 10:04pm |
Unless the Green gets up, I'm probably planning on some early laps (the Seahawks game is at 1:30 p.m.), in the Sky drainage. Foss is awesome at the projected flows. But so is the Sky. And the Sky is a heckuva lot closer. Money Creek is also fun. So is the Lower Tye (if it's clean). It's gotta be clean by now.
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Catch your eddies,
Christian
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water wacko
Master Poster
Team Jackson
Joined: 07 Nov 2006
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 Posted: 08 Jan 2014 at 4:41pm |
Christian, that same wood has been in there for the past few years. Saw in there this summer, again.
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"Don't ask yourself what the world needs. Ask yourself what makes you come alive, and go do that, because what the world needs is people who have come alive." ~Howard Thurman
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tiziak
Forum Moderator
Joined: 31 Aug 2008
Location: United States
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 Posted: 08 Jan 2014 at 11:42pm |
get it boys!
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If you don't know where you are going, any road will get you there.
Daniel Patrinellis
360.434.4616
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Elijah
Rock Bumper
Joined: 08 Aug 2012
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 Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 9:49am |
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
402 PM PST WED JAN 8 2014
...MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY FOR THE
SKOKOMISH RIVER IN THE OLYMPICS AND RIVERS FLOWING OFF OF THE
WESTERN WASHINGTON CASCADES...
CHANCES LOOK PRETTY GOOD FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
OLYMPICS AND WASHINGTON CASCADES FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL RISE FROM 3000 TO 5000 FT UP TO 5000 TO
7000 FT DURING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION BEFORE LOWERING TO
2000-3000 FT TOWARDS THE END OF THE STORM. MODELS DIFFER ON HOW
MUCH PRECIPITATION AND WHETHER IT BE MORE IN THE NORTH OR SOUTH OF
OUR DISTRICT BUT WE ARE EXPECTING 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE
OLYMPICS AND CASCADES AND ONE HALF TO ONE AND THREE QUARTERS INCHES
IN THE LOWLANDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND SNOW LEVELS ARE MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT TO
PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING FOR MOST AREAS...SO IT IS DIFFICULT TO SAY
WHICH RIVERS...OTHER THAN THE SKOKOMISH RIVER...ARE AT MOST RISK
OF FLOODING. BUT HYDROLOGIC MODELS INDICATE A FLOOD THREAT FOR THE
SKOKOMISH RIVER...FOLLOWED BY THE STILLAGUAMISH AND NEWAUKUM RIVERS AND
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING. OTHER RIVERS WITH A LESSER CHANCE
OF FLOODING ARE THE NOOKSACK...SKAGIT...TOLT...SNOQUALMIE...AND
LOWER CHEHALIS RIVERS.
PEOPLE IN FLOOD PRONE RIVER VALLEYS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER FORECASTS FOR ANY CHANGES.
$$
JBB
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
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Jed Hawkes
Rio Banditos
Joined: 24 Aug 2008
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 Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 10:00am |
Originally posted by water wacko
Christian, that same wood has been in there for the past few years. Saw in there this summer, again.
What wood is this exactly? unportageable? does it make the run not doable? does it obscure any of the good rapids?
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The line will become apparent
978-273-7723
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chipmaney
Big Boofer
Joined: 10 Apr 2008
Location: United States
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 Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 11:38am |
jed, it's about 200' downstream from the get-in and is also visible from the get-in. keep on the right bank. not that big a deal, but there used to be a class iii+ must-make eddy that is likely still in play. you can also just walk down to below it if you want. get it!
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sitting all alone on a mountain by a river that has no end
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JayB
Big Boofer
Joined: 21 Feb 2005
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 Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 2:02pm |
Not sure if my perceptions are correct, based on a scout a couple of years ago, I'd answer:
-Multiple massive interlocking logs at or just above river level. Not a true "logjam" with everything from twigs to old-growth trunks piled up in a heap, but far from a single big log spanning the channel.
-Portage would be possible but would be longish and bypass most of the good looking WW.
-Mindbender. Potentially more.
I put it in the "Not worth doing" category unless/until there's a mega-flood that cleans it out.
Edited by JayB - 09 Jan 2014 at 2:04pm
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-Jay
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huckin harms
Master Poster
Joined: 03 Nov 2005
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 Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 2:08pm |
I agree with Jay's points, I've looked at this stretch on numerous occasions but never think it'd be worth the effort vs reward. The mega-flood removing that wood pile would probably destroy local roads similar to 2006. Maybe it will clean out this weekend!
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LisaF
Super Looper
Joined: 29 Jun 2008
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 Posted: 10 Jan 2014 at 9:31am |
Mike's got it right. Right after the first log landed (several years ago) on the lower Tye it was an easy portage, but through the years more and more wood has piled up, pretty much obliterating the best rapid on the run. I would think the Foss might have snow issues on the road right now, too.
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